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# Road to the Pro Circuit Cup
- URL: https://news.probaseballcircuit.com/road-to-the-pro-circuit-cup/
- Published: 2026-08-03T16:00:00.000Z
- Updated: 2026-08-09T01:40:52.000Z
- Description: Eight teams. Every series best of seven. Cincinnati brings the season's best all-around profile; El Paso brings an October standard no one else can match.
- Author: Kevin - Boston
- Tags: News, SimDate:2028-10-06

**Professional Baseball Circuit · 2028 Postseason**

Eight teams. Every series best of seven. Cincinnati brings the season's best all-around profile; El Paso brings an October standard no one else can match.

## Balance meets October history

The Regents led the PBC in both offense and run prevention. The Diablos arrive with 11 championships. Between them sits a field full of leverage: Chicago's lineup, St. Louis' recent rivalry edge, Los Angeles' ace, Las Vegas' injury, and two fourth seeds with nothing to lose.

*PBC Baseball Operations · Final regular-season snapshot: 2028-09-26*

> **The question of October**
> 
> Can Cincinnati withstand John Weber's absence and turn the PBC's best record into a second championship — or will El Paso own another October?

---

# Part I — The playoff field

*What each qualifier is, what it fears, and why it still has a path.*

### Favorite — Cincinnati Regents

![Cincinnati Regents logo](https://news.probaseballcircuit.com/content/images/pbc_logos/cincinnati_regents_110.png)

**61–27 · Eastern No. 1**

The PBC's most complete club: first in OPS (.821) and ERA (3.39). Orion Baker gives Cincinnati the October ace every favorite wants.

**The pressure point:** The cost of being the favorite is immediate: 3B John Weber (.890 OPS) is out four weeks.

### Challenger — Chicago Union

![Chicago Union logo](https://news.probaseballcircuit.com/content/images/pbc_logos/chicago_union_110.png)

**53–35 · Eastern No. 2**

Chicago's route is loud offense. Jordan Blackwell, Pat Houle and John McKinney form a lineup capable of flipping any series.

**The pressure point:** A 4.13 ERA ranked 10th; the Union must survive the games Jason Zierer does not start.

### Matchup problem — St. Louis Lions

![St. Louis Lions logo](https://news.probaseballcircuit.com/content/images/pbc_logos/st_louis_lions_110.png)

**52–36 · Eastern No. 3**

The Lions arrive with a fifth-ranked 3.71 ERA and recent muscle: they eliminated Chicago in each of the last two postseasons.

**The pressure point:** The lineup ranked eighth in OPS. Juan Tercero has to make the pitching edge matter.

### Underdog — New York City Gothams

![New York City Gothams logo](images/new-york-city-gothams-logo.png)

**49–39 · Eastern No. 4**

Conor Kirk's 1.178 OPS gives the Gothams an unmistakable star for their first-round swing at the favorite.

**The pressure point:** New York City is 0–4 in verified postseason series. The breakthrough has to begin in Cincinnati.

### Dynasty — El Paso Diablos

![El Paso Diablos logo](images/el-paso-diablos-logo.png)

**59–29 · Western No. 1**

Eleven championships, a 3.55 ERA, and a rotation built for short series make El Paso October's standard bearer.

**The pressure point:** The offense ranked sixth in OPS. Houston's rotation can make every run feel expensive.

### Ceiling — Los Angeles Knights

![Los Angeles Knights logo](images/los-angeles-knights-logo.png)

**56–32 · Western No. 2**

Corey Martin (18–3, 2.81 ERA) and Braden Deming (1.076 OPS) give Los Angeles the field's most explosive one-two punch.

**The pressure point:** The Knights' 4.10 ERA leaves a question behind Martin.

### Resilience — Las Vegas Aces

![Las Vegas Aces logo](images/las-vegas-aces-logo.png)

**55–33 · Western No. 3**

Third in both OPS and ERA, Las Vegas still has enough balance to threaten anyone.

**The pressure point:** C Ruben Hernandez (4.5 WAR, .953 OPS) is out 5–6 weeks, reshaping the entire series.

### Spoiler — Houston Mavericks

![Houston Mavericks logo](images/houston-mavericks-logo.png)

**50–38 · Western No. 4**

Alfonso Soler, Randy Lusk and Leo Canales give Houston a more dangerous lower-seed profile than its record implies.

**The pressure point:** El Paso has eliminated the Mavericks in both prior October meetings.

---

# Part II — Four series, four pressure points

*The positional, rotation, bullpen, and availability details that matter — without mistaking projections for official roster announcements.*

## Cincinnati Regents vs. New York City Gothams

**Eastern Opening Round · Best of Seven**

*The PBC's best complete team meets the field's most desperate breakthrough candidate.*

**How they win**

- **Cincinnati Regents:** Baker and Kinney establish control early, while Cincinnati's balance absorbs the loss of Weber.
- **New York City Gothams:** Kirk and the Gotham lineup force offense, denying Cincinnati the low-scoring script it prefers.

**The position edge**

The middle of the diamond favors Cincinnati; Kirk's right-field production is New York City's loudest edge.

**Projected October arms**

CIN: Baker (2.51), Kinney (3.44), Black (4.64) · NYC: Smith (3.91), Van Deventer (3.66), Dugger (4.92)

**Bullpen hinge**

Late innings: Cincinnati — Clanton (2.24), Baek (2.77) · New York City — Öunap (2.43), Brooks (3.00)

> **Availability:** John Weber is out four weeks; Christiaan Linders is the likely third-base adjustment.

**The pick: Cincinnati in six**

## Chicago Union vs. St. Louis Lions

**Eastern Opening Round · Best of Seven**

*Chicago's bats collide with St. Louis' run prevention in the third consecutive October meeting.*

**How they win**

- **Chicago Union:** Blackwell, Houle and McKinney create enough separation for McNeal to close games.
- **St. Louis Lions:** Cream, Reynoso and Williams keep the scores narrow, preserving the Lions' recent edge in this rivalry.

**The position edge**

Chicago owns the outfield thunder; St. Louis counters with Tercero and a deeper infield profile.

**Projected October arms**

CHI: Zierer (3.30), Naugle (4.29), Kuehnemund (4.90) · STL: Cream (3.35), Reynoso (4.52), Williams (3.06)

**Bullpen hinge**

Late innings: Chicago — McNeal (2.41) · St. Louis — Reynolds (3.07)

> **Availability:** No playoff-impact absence changes the central matchup.

**The pick: St. Louis in seven**

## El Paso Diablos vs. Houston Mavericks

**Western Opening Round · Best of Seven**

*Houston brings a real rotation; El Paso brings the game's deepest October institutional memory.*

**How they win**

- **El Paso Diablos:** Ortiz, Bender and Hernandez give Felipe Gutierrez and the Diablos enough runway to dictate close games.
- **Houston Mavericks:** Canales, Corsino and Kunishige turn this into a starter's series and let Soler deliver the swing moment.

**The position edge**

Houston's infield is formidable, but El Paso has the stronger defensive spine and the series' defining bat in Gutierrez.

**Projected October arms**

ELP: Ortiz (3.24), Bender (3.52), Hernandez (3.38) · HOU: Canales (2.89), Corsino (3.37), Kunishige (3.32)

**Bullpen hinge**

Late innings: El Paso — Trombley (2.09) · Houston needs length from its starters.

> **Availability:** No playoff-impact absence changes the central matchup.

**The pick: El Paso in six**

## Los Angeles Knights vs. Las Vegas Aces

**Western Opening Round · Best of Seven**

*The tightest series in the field: Los Angeles owns the best Game 1 pitcher, Las Vegas the steadier healthy staff.*

**How they win**

- **Los Angeles Knights:** Martin creates an early advantage and Deming gives the Knights enough offense to exploit a depleted Aces lineup.
- **Las Vegas Aces:** Dixon, Eisenberg and Degenstein extend the series until Las Vegas' staff can take over the margins.

**The position edge**

Las Vegas has more healthy positional edges, but Deming is the series' biggest available bat.

**Projected October arms**

LA: Martin (2.81), Warner (6.35), Keeth (3.91) · LV: Dixon (3.90), Eisenberg (3.35), Degenstein (3.54)

**Bullpen hinge**

Late innings: Los Angeles — Mathias (2.39), Lock (2.35) · Las Vegas — Alvarez (1.62), Ayala (2.96)

> **Availability:** Ruben Hernandez is out 5–6 weeks; Morgan Rhodes projects to inherit the catcher workload.

**The pick: Los Angeles in seven**

---

# Part III — The stars, and the absences, of October

| Club         | Player               | Line                      | Why it matters                                                                          |
| ------------ | -------------------- | ------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Cincinnati   | **Orion Baker**      | 15–4 · 2.51 ERA · 5.4 WAR | The field's clearest Game 1 advantage.                                                  |
| El Paso      | **Felipe Gutierrez** | 1.041 OPS · 3.9 WAR       | The defining bat of a franchise that knows October.                                     |
| Los Angeles  | **Corey Martin**     | 18–3 · 2.81 ERA · 176 K   | No starter enters the field with a stronger regular-season case.                        |
| St. Louis    | **Juan Tercero**     | 4.7 WAR · .964 OPS        | The Lions need their best player to make their pitching count.                          |
| Availability | **John Weber**       | OUT · 4 weeks             | Cincinnati loses a .890-OPS third baseman for the opening round and potentially longer. |
| Availability | **Ruben Hernandez**  | OUT · 5–6 weeks           | Las Vegas must replace a 4.5-WAR, .953-OPS catcher at the worst possible time.          |

---

# Part IV — By the numbers

|           |                            |
| --------- | -------------------------- |
| **61–27** | Cincinnati record          |
| **.821**  | Cincinnati OPS · PBC No. 1 |
| **11**    | El Paso championships      |
| **18**    | Corey Martin wins          |

---

# Part V — October has a memory

**A new Cincinnati chapter**

This is the first postseason under the Regents identity. The franchise enters with Toronto's 2023 PBC Cup in its lineage, won over El Paso in six games.

**The El Paso standard**

The Diablos own 11 titles: 2013–17, 2020–21, and 2024–27\. Their postseason record is 37–5 in series and 132–66 in games.

**A rivalry with proof**

Chicago and St. Louis meet for the third consecutive postseason. The Lions won the first two meetings, including a 4–1 result in 2027.

---

# Part VI — The complete bracket

*Every round is best of seven. Picks are editorial forecasts, not league projections.*

**Opening Round**

| Series                               | Pick                 |
| ------------------------------------ | -------------------- |
| (1) Cincinnati vs. (4) New York City | Cincinnati in six    |
| (2) Chicago vs. (3) St. Louis        | St. Louis in seven   |
| (1) El Paso vs. (4) Houston          | El Paso in six       |
| (2) Los Angeles vs. (3) Las Vegas    | Los Angeles in seven |

**Cup Qualifiers**

| Series                                                                | Projected                         |
| --------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------------------------------- |
| Eastern: Cincinnati/New York City winner vs. Chicago/St. Louis winner | Cincinnati over St. Louis in six  |
| Western: El Paso/Houston winner vs. Los Angeles/Las Vegas winner      | El Paso over Los Angeles in seven |

**Pro Circuit Cup**

| Series                                                | Projected                        |
| ----------------------------------------------------- | -------------------------------- |
| Eastern qualifier winner vs. Western qualifier winner | Cincinnati over El Paso in seven |

---

# Part VII — Awards watch

**East pitcher**

Orion Baker and his 15–4, 2.51 ERA season leads the East case, with Chicago's Jason Zierer the most credible challenger.

**West pitcher**

Corey Martin's 18 wins, 2.81 ERA, and 176 strikeouts give him the strongest case in the field.

**Hitter screen**

Felipe Rodriguez (5.7 WAR, 1.029 OPS) leads the East conversation; Houston's Alfonso Soler (4.5 WAR, .937 OPS) heads the West screen.

---

*Statistics reflect the September 26, 2028 final regular-season StatsPlus snapshot. Injury notes are limited to source-tagged availability reports. Projected rotations and usage are editorial assessments, not official postseason roster or Game 1 announcements. Full evidence, player packets, and research detail remain in the separate PBC Playoff Preview Research Book.*